Another season of college football is underway and, with so much action on the board when it comes to betting on the games, you need to put some kind of plan together to give yourself the best chance of producing a positive return on investment by the time the national title game rolls around in early January.
The first tip to betting on college football is to limit the range of the actual games you decide to play. There are 10 different conferences in Division IA football or the FBS made up of five major conferences and five others known as Mid-Majors. It would be almost impossible to properly handicap every one of these conferences let alone every one of these teams. Even the top professional handicappers will limit the range of the teams they cover to either a geographic area or by conference.
You have a far greater chance of correctly predicting the outcome of games between teams that you are already familiar with as opposed to starting from scratch with your handicapping efforts. Your goal should be to become a subject matter expert on the Big Ten or the ACC as opposed to having a limited amount of knowledge of every major college football program.
Another tip for betting on college football is to make sure you do have some Mid-Major teams in the mix. The betting lines for the matchups in the major conferences, especially when they are between two nationally ranked teams tend to be much sharper than the betting lines for many of the Mid-Major games on each week’s slate.
By picking out one or maybe two Mid-Major conferences to focus some of your handicapping efforts on, you will probably come across a couple of games each week where you can find a significant edge one way or the other. The Oddsmakers do not spend nearly the same amount of time formulating betting lines for the Sun Belt Conference or the Mid-American as they do for the SEC or Pac-12 so there are bound to always be a couple of games that fall through the cracks.
When it comes to betting on the college football games themselves, try not to get sucked into laying any huge spreads between obvious mismatches on the field. Just because Alabama is five-touchdown favorite against a team from the Sun Belt does not automatically mean that it is going to easily win that game by six scores. Past betting trends actually tend to lean towards underdogs when the pointspreads start to exceed 28 points.
You have to remember that this could be the biggest game of the year for that underdog going up against a national power and they will go to whatever means possible to prove that they do belong on the same field. National powers schedule games like this to help soften what can sometimes be a very brutal conference schedule. The fact that we are dealing with college athletes and not professionals lends itself to the fact that many times the power team will already be looking past this game to the next rough spot on the schedule. What you want to look for is a few quality Mid-Major programs that look forward to stepping up in class to add some big major programs to their nonconference schedule.
The final tip is to also limit the number of college games you actually bet. You are far better off concentrating on two or three matchups each week as higher unit plays. Spreading out your money on more games than that actually reduces your chances to come out ahead. It is much easier to be right once or twice a week as opposed to picking a winner in more than half of a large number of games.